Saturday, August 8, 2009
Tuesday, June 9, 2009
China Requires Censorship Software on New PCs - NYTimes.com
on the tianamen anniversary 4th of june, certain websites in china put themselves out of service, to implicitly commemorate the tragedy, such method ironically might have been inspired of the official 5.12 sichuan earthquarke commemoration, orchestred by CCP.
generation-Y chinese, because of the country on-going expansion economics and government general policy to "omit" certain undesirable facts, are often ignorant of....., received a distorted image of CCP past deeds.
it is understandable if it is within a corporation, or a small village, if u want to get rich under my turf, u better play my game.... but for a 1billion+ people nation striving to be sophisticated society?
it is an ongoing struggle, from corruption charge against shenzhen governor to internt cersorship, it is beyond a simple citizen vs big gov. struggle, the issues range from nationwide integrity, such as regional vs central gov., a growing population of middle class trying to break thru and the significant remaining under a dollar a day poverty pop.
this is the breaking point of CCP control, the 200m china internet users, who are they? it is likely to have a large percentage of gen-Yer, so where and who is china trying to put their grip at?
it seems that it is gen-Y, and relatively welloff coastal regions, it was a decade, Shanghai corruption charges, now it is Shenzhen, who is shocked of corruption in china? the real question is why prosecution there and not somewhere else?
because those are the first to get rich as chairman Deng Xiaoping famously said, "let some people get rich first"....... and thus they did.
now like the ancient roman, first they fought for their fortune, then they needed to establish the law to guard their fortune, that implies reform. but all CCP can offer is prosperity, economic, materialism prosperity, and solemnely that.
internet censor is CCP fear talking, fear driven by fear, this might be the beginning of back to communist days, all surveillance, stalinist method. if everything said and done in the internet is archived, it can be used, out of context, maybe 10yrs later, to charge whatever CCP fancy.
so as Einsten said:" If A is a success in life, then A equals x plus y plus z. Work is x; y is play and z is KEEPING YOUR MOUTH SHUT."
Monday, June 1, 2009
Monday, May 18, 2009
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
Monday, April 27, 2009
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Monday, March 30, 2009
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Friday, March 27, 2009
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Monday, March 23, 2009
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Monday, March 16, 2009
Monday, March 9, 2009
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Monday, February 23, 2009
Friday, February 20, 2009
Thursday, February 19, 2009
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
A "propellor-head" at full throttle in the White House - International Herald Tribune
1. the policymaker is STRETCHED TOO THIN.
A "propellor-head" at full throttle in the White House - International Herald Tribune: ", Summers sometimes seems to be doing a hundred things at once: zipping off to Capitol Hill at a moment's notice, brushing up on policy in matters as varied as health technology and digital television, holding midnight conference calls to noodle around ideas he does not have time to think about during the day."
2. this is politics, and politics as usual, Obama proclaimed's CHANGE is only a rhetoric, a "make belief" to win more votes.
" doing what he does best, which is help you think through something, and judgements that you can save yourself from."
3. policymakers' main interest is to save himself.
they lectured countries all over the world on what to do, ...did not "follow through with their own prescriptions."
so is the economy going to be better in the fall, as mainstream newspaper said?
Thursday, February 5, 2009
Nationalization of U.S. banks gets a new, serious look - International Herald Tribune
'I would guess that sometime in the next few weeks, Obama and Tim Geithner,' he said, referring to the nominee for Treasury secretary, 'will have to come out and say, 'It's much worse than we thought,' and just bite the bullet.'"
the good bank, bad bank separation need to be done. banking not working means economy is not working, the longer they decide on, the worse the situation will be; and the less asset would worth, it is a downward spiral.
the gov't could take in all the bad assets, freeze them for 5yrs or so, pay them at the price the banks demanded them. BUT in 5yrs time, if those assets do not worth the price, plus interest,
(interest could be something aligned to the treasury bill rate, or whatever seem appropriate)
the banks have to pay them back.
on the meantime, the economy would start working again, and the banks are given a chance to repent to their crimes, this time do what they can to solve the economy, in order to save their shirt, they have to save everyone else first.
the moral hazard, not voilated.
and the taxpayers' money are guaranteed.
of course, this deal has to stipulated that the banks would not cash out the economy.
so the banks would not be tempted,
1.to revivial only certain economy sectors where the toxic assets are located.
2. earn exorbitant profits to buy back in order to save their skins, while making everyone else worse off.
it seem unlikely to be possible but given how twisted the bank brightest minds are, it is to be safe than sorry.
maybe a review another 3yrs later, that the assets were not inflate to meet the requirement.
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the policy makers cannot make up their minds
because a policy maker is not a banker, a banker is not a policymaker, tho it is not mutual exclusive, but it is ridiculous to ask policy maker to do banker's job, vice versa...
BANKERS need to be part of the solution. in good times, if some guys thinks he deserves millions for his job, then prove your millions are worth it by saving the economy, or are you just a fraud!!
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
On Madison Avenue, luxury shops pack their hand-tooled bags - International Herald Tribune
The risk of a new protectionism - International Herald Tribune
Adair Turner, the chairman of Britain's Financial Services Authority, voiced the same concern, calling it 'the risk of a new mercantilism,' centered on credit availability rather than trade.
'It is not easy to avoid this,' he added. 'It could get out of hand.'"
So much for austerity chic - International Herald Tribune
Arms control treaties: The rules of the game - International Herald Tribune
They tore up the 1972 antiballistic missile treaty to make way for a still largely pie-in-the-sky missile defense system. They opposed the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty and never made a serious effort to win a ban on the production of fissile material (the core of a nuclear weapon).
Bush grudgingly signed his one and only arms-reduction treaty with the Russians in 2002. That means that today - 20 years after the fall of the Berlin Wall - the United States and Russia still have more than 20,000 nuclear weapons, with thousands ready to launch within minutes.
The bad news, of course, didn't stop there."
Brooks: What life asks of us - International Herald Tribune
In this way of living, to borrow an old phrase, we are not defined by what we ask of life. We are defined by what life asks of us. As we go through life, we travel through institutions - first family and school, then the institutions of a profession or a craft."
Bowring: The global imbalance - International Herald Tribune
The U.S. can run a deficit simply by printing more dollars. The likes of India, Brazil South Africa and Indonesia cannot. They will have to borrow to sustain economic growth when their export prices fall. With private sector finance now hard to find, and given the limited resources of multilateral institutions like the World Bank, the dangers of a downhill snowball effect are clear"
The mission at Davos: Avoid a crisis of capitalism - International Herald Tribune
World worries how U.S. will pay for stimulus - International Herald Tribune
Our forgotten crisis - International Herald Tribune
Tuesday, February 3, 2009
A model nuclear-power deal? - International Herald Tribune
IRONIC.... but very good news!!!
some crazy ideas of how limiting countries debt, n save the world trade order
i have just got this crazy idea that might work. i was reading about fallen states in the economist msg.
they categorized into 3 types, hobbes-ian, brutal nasty old rule, modern n post-modern.
post-modern is european union where they sacrificed a certain amount of their soverignities in order to be in an union. they get the same money, euro; n have certain restricted to their bugetary policy, like the national debt would not be more than for example, 4% of GDP.
of course, some EU countries do not always obey the law, n everyone just want to devaluate their money to get out of an economic crisis. (sorry, i am not going to explain the economic theory, too tired to, just sth to do with export, raise output....)
anyway, i was reading this other articules on japan, how even their banks got fucked, not because of the american toxic assets, they have very little of that,
more of the jap banks have stakes in the japanese companies, like sony, sharp, toyota....
so when the stock market was down, because less products are sold in america & others...
the jap banks got hitted very hard, suddenly their balance sheet got fucked up too. (jap economies, half of jap GDP is export, so imagine when the export is down by half, that means 25% of GDP is down,
economy works in cycle, less money coming back, more laid off, less money to spent at home..... so maybe another 15-20%off, it will be like 60ish GDP of a year ago, that is alot!!!!)
n they hit out in the banks as the banks own the economy, no money to lend out, less investment, less job, second cycle of laid-off.......yes, very crap.)
anyway. so what is my idea? u know there is a failed Doha round.
basically countries come together to arguing, trying to divide the cake, who gets what, how much tarriff they can impose on their imports, how many products go from chile to america for example....
the point is that we have no international rule, arbitrary of saying if someone breaks the rule they will be punished, but the Doha round is the nearest thing we have.
it is basically bigger countries rule, i have more power over u, n u have to obey my rule if u are going to do biz with me.
but what if we set some sort of EU for the world, we are not going to talk about human rights....
but say that all countries cannot go beyond certains percentage of debts of their GDP if u want to join in the union.
1.u see, if u want to subsidary ur goods, say that a corn costs $3, gov't A gives $1 to the farmers, then if it is sells $3, the farmers will still get $1 of profit, while drive other countries farmers bankrupt, n
country A has a bigger share of the market...monopoly, raise the price of corn later, n bigger say in the Doha round, more unfair rules...vicious cycle.
but if every gov't cannot go beyond a certain debt level, they paying subsidy to one thing, means less on the other thing. in normal time, they would prefer to run in bigger debt, get bigger GDP, then the debt can be paid off later. now they cannot do that.
2. if the country is not in debt, the interest rate is stable, so the currency is stable, n so financial markets would not play in hedging currency, so no hot money or flight of money.
(hot money, i.e. Soros in 1997 asia financial crisis) , so no further currency stability.
ok, interest rate stable, do u get what i mean, if ur bank account n credit history is good, the bank would not view u as dangerous, run n not pay back, so they do not charge a higher interest rate, to offset their risks. u are good biz, they would like to keep u as client, so lower interest rate for u.
3. other countries know that u have the money to pay back, they would like to do more biz with u. n so u do more biz with other countries.
if u want to run into unreasonable debt to expand ur biz too quickly, u cannot, as u would be kicked out of the union n no biz at all for u. so it is very safe.
4. if they try to heat up the property/ stock market to raise consumption, thus GDP, by letting their households borrow from their houses to buy goods n stock..., n so stock/property goes up, borrow more, more for consumption, bigger GDP...stock goes up again...
they cannot, because they are not allow to run beyond certain amount of debts.
5. if the company n gov't has excess saving, like in china, even when the ave. workers paycheck has been less n less.... those gov'ts would not know what to do with their saving, because nobody can borrow from them, so they would need to invest back to their own economies, raise the workers' wages for more buying, thus bigger GDP.
so the disturbed present cycle could not have been possible. all the countries would have developped more normally, n evenly, so eventually between the poor n the rich is not so big, n so fairer societies for all.
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i am sure my model could have some falses. i have not thought everything thru...
but the first problem i see in implementation, they are going to argue what is the wrong amount of debt.
2. should developed, n developping countries have the same percentage of debt of GDP, afterall developping countries need more money to develop...etc, it is not fair...etc.
3. some countries would start to do insider deal, hey, i have excess saving, do u want some?
i won't tell anyone, esp if it is big, like america n china, nobody would dare to say anything.
yes, in union, we are strength, in parts, we fall.
4. some countries would try to cook up numbers, what is count as debts, what isn't.... statistic, accounting... u will be amazed by what some experts' hand can do.
5. how to count the debt level, an ave out of 5yrs, is every yr being too strict? but if every 5yrs, some countries would use political influence to delay or cheat, round out numbers....etc, n say it is almost alright, ppl turn a blind eye from it.
hey, i help u out, u help me out; hey if it is not today, u never know when u would need my help, so...
they are all so lowlifes, i swear, freaking politicians.
even if it works, maybe it is like in the starworld, a good republic, until some forgones all the rules, it is so peaceful, nobody have anymore anti-bodies to fight if they are attacked by the diseases.
i don't know, history is a funny thing, maybe i have thought too many steps ahead. only God knows!!!
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IMF, bretton woods, UN... most of them were built after the WW2, are they not outdated?
Cold war, 1989, 9/11... is it not the time to build something that reflect our times?
the idea i have got properly would not work out in one rule fit all..., but should not we move more gradually to trade with countries that are fiscally responsible?
we buy from brandnames that give us a sense of confidence, quality, safety...
in an unfair, injustice world, it would seem stupid to play it fair, but everything is so distorted, nothing seems to make sense, everyone feels disoriented one way or another.
someone called it post-modern angst, but what is the point?
who is really winning here? u win some, u lose some.... in- between anxiety and stress have aged u decades in a few yrs. i am talking about wallstreet, washington. they are so overworked, overloaded in monitoring every bit of distortions.
that they cannot think straight, not until the day u have left the gambling table, u would not know if u have won or lost. but by then.... what have u really done for the world, maybe even for urself?
Monday, February 2, 2009
Sunday, February 1, 2009
An anatomy of Asian economic woes | Troubled tigers | The Economist
Saturday, January 31, 2009
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
Sunday, January 25, 2009
What do women want?
A. the three stage of falling in love,
1. lust, testesterone
2. obsession(?), adrenaliane, stress hormones, dopamine
3. attachment, oxyctocin
B. genetic composition of man n women,
man, XY
woman, XX
father X1Y mother X2X3
sonA YX2 sonB YX3 daughterA X1X2 daugtherB X1X3,
so father X(1) is lost in son, whereas with daughter X(1) is preserved n there are a greater possiblilities of difference between women.
sonAYX2 wifeAX4X5 sonBYX3 wifeBX6X7
s's sYX4 s's sYX5 s's dX2X4 s's dX2X5 s's sYX6 s's sYX7 s's dX3X6 s's dX3X7
between son A 's sons and sonB 's sons, the half of the genetic composition remains the same, YX4, YX5, YX6, YX7
but between the brothers' daughters, X2X4, X2X5, of sonA 's and X3X6, X3X7, of sonB's. there are no genetic similitude.
extending this theory to the general population, women are a divergent group by genetical structural combination.
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so men are more likely to have a uniform desire, lust, testosterone n less likely to have experience, oxyctocin.
oxyctocin is associated with oestrogen.
women desire is complicated to define,
because firstly their genetic makeup could be very different between women.
secondly, women having higher level of oestrogen, and lower level of testesterone, would have a different pattern of desire from men.
but generally the research methodology is a transposed of male model, and so is the thinking model, it views woman generally from man perspective.
my fizzy mind could not think thru, i have no conclusion, nevertheless this would set up the base for further thoughts.